Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#226
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#229
Pace76.3#26
Improvement+0.4#145

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#277
Improvement-0.3#181

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
Improvement+0.8#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-72 29%     0 - 1 -3.6 -6.8 +3.4
  Nov 17, 2011 320   @ Alabama St. W 67-60 70%     1 - 1 -1.8 -11.6 +9.1
  Nov 19, 2011 76   @ Marshall L 61-83 11%     1 - 2 -11.9 -16.3 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2011 33   @ Cincinnati L 43-71 6%     1 - 3 -13.9 -20.4 +5.6
  Nov 25, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. W 66-61 OT 60%     2 - 3 -0.9 -12.3 +11.0
  Nov 29, 2011 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 80-65 54%     3 - 3 +10.5 +4.9 +5.1
  Dec 02, 2011 6   @ Missouri L 56-90 2%     3 - 4 -12.3 -12.4 +0.2
  Dec 06, 2011 185   @ Louisiana Tech L 93-94 2OT 30%     3 - 5 +1.1 +3.1 -1.8
  Dec 15, 2011 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 76-63 64%     4 - 5 +5.9 -0.2 +6.4
  Dec 22, 2011 70   Mississippi St. L 67-82 17%     4 - 6 -8.1 -7.8 +0.3
  Dec 31, 2011 96   @ Oklahoma L 63-83 14%     4 - 7 -11.5 -10.3 +0.4
  Jan 07, 2012 259   Texas St. W 83-68 71%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +5.8 -1.2 +6.0
  Jan 11, 2012 326   @ Nicholls St. W 80-79 71%     6 - 7 2 - 0 -8.2 -5.8 -2.5
  Jan 14, 2012 324   Central Arkansas L 73-77 88%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -19.9 -15.3 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2012 171   @ Texas San Antonio L 62-80 27%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -14.9 -9.5 -5.6
  Jan 21, 2012 209   @ McNeese St. W 64-61 34%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +4.0 -9.0 +13.0
  Jan 25, 2012 102   Lamar W 74-62 32%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +13.3 -0.3 +13.4
  Jan 28, 2012 297   SE Louisiana W 55-38 79%     9 - 9 5 - 2 +5.0 -13.4 +19.5
  Feb 01, 2012 324   @ Central Arkansas W 79-68 71%     10 - 9 6 - 2 +1.9 -3.8 +4.8
  Feb 04, 2012 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 82-68 82%     11 - 9 7 - 2 +0.7 +4.6 -4.2
  Feb 08, 2012 102   @ Lamar L 66-85 14%     11 - 10 7 - 3 -10.9 -3.9 -6.9
  Feb 11, 2012 297   @ SE Louisiana L 61-66 57%     11 - 11 7 - 4 -10.2 -9.4 -0.6
  Feb 13, 2012 209   McNeese St. L 61-70 59%     11 - 12 7 - 5 -14.8 -17.9 +3.5
  Feb 18, 2012 245   Campbell W 100-86 68%     12 - 12 +5.8 +2.7 +0.6
  Feb 22, 2012 270   Sam Houston St. L 37-50 73%     12 - 13 7 - 6 -22.6 -38.1 +16.3
  Feb 25, 2012 108   @ Texas Arlington L 70-79 15%     12 - 14 7 - 7 -1.5 +0.0 -1.3
  Feb 29, 2012 326   Nicholls St. W 92-61 88%     13 - 14 8 - 7 +15.0 +2.6 +11.0
  Mar 03, 2012 161   @ Stephen F. Austin L 52-62 24%     13 - 15 8 - 8 -6.1 -9.5 +2.5
  Mar 07, 2012 102   Lamar L 69-76 22%     13 - 16 -2.3 +0.1 -2.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%